The True Guru's Mock Draft 1st Round
For tomorrow's broadcast of The Fantasy Baseball Gurus Show we will be covering the first round of a 2009 draft and giving you our selections for the top 12 picks. I'm putting in my blog ahead of time so in case you miss the podcast, check it out here. However, we will be giving much more detailed information on the podcast, so catch the archive.
You can hear the show LIVE or the archived podcast at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/the_true_guru.
Round 1
#1 - Hanley Ramirez (SS) Florida Marlins - In 2008 he was my first overall pick in the FBS Expert League. This year he is the first overall pick in all drafts. Hanley brings power, speed, and average to the table.
Pros: 30+ homerun power, 40-50 stolen base potential, and a possibility to hit over .330. He is also in a somewhat weaker Marlins lineup, so you could see him running more.
Cons: The Marlins lineup lost sluggers Mike Jacobs and Josh Willingham, so pitchers may pitch around Hanley more often. However, the Marlins do surprise with their prospects, so we will have to see how that develops. Hanley is also injury prone, but normally plays through it.
#2 - David Wright (3B) NY Mets - Had another banner year last season and at 26 he could be setup for a monster 2009.
Pros: In a great lineup and is hitting his prime. He has power and speed, but most of all health.
Cons: When the Mets slump, Wright slumps.
#3 - Alex Rodriguez (3B) NY Yankees- He is still one of the best in the business, if not the best.
Pros: He hits for power, average, and is an MVP candidate every year. He also has help in the Yankee lineup with Tex being added
Cons: Prone to slumps and his stolen bases are sliding a bit.
#4 - Albert Pujols (1B) St. Louis Cardinals - Albert Pujols is one of the best all round players in the league. Last year's MVP is 28 and going strong.
Pros: Hits for power and can steal bases when needed. He hits for average better than any player in the first round. He can it 40 homeruns.
Cons: You have to concern yourself with injury, but overall that is the only con.
#5 Grady Sizemore (OF) Cleveland Indians - Hit 30/30 last year, and developed into a first round draft pick.
Pros: Sizemore is one of two 30/30 candidates in the first round.
Cons: Not the best for average, and is on a highly inconsistent team in the Cleveland Indians.
#6 Jose Reyes (SS) NY Mets - Reyes regained his power stroke in 2008, but dropped in stolen bases.
Pros: Steals an obscene amount of bases, and can hit 15-20 homeruns. He is the lead off man for a potent Mets offense.
Cons: Highly inconsistent. You are not always sure what you will get from him.
#7 Ryan Braun (OF) Milwaukee Brewers - Followed up his sensational rookie season with a solid sophomore season.
Pros: Entering his third year we expect his average to increase back to above .300 and he is developing into more of a control hitter. Has the ability to steal 20 bases, and hit 40 homeruns.
Cons: There is risk in whether or not he can hit .300 and steal more than 15 bases.
#8 Jimmy Rollins (SS) Philadelphia Phillies - Had a injury laden 2008, but is still a premiere shortstop.
Pros: He's a shortstop. He's coming off of a bad year that he still stole 47 bases, and two years removed from his MVP season.
Cons: Turns 30, and he is injury prone lately. There is an issue of whether or not he can regain his power.
#9 Miguel Cabrera (1B) Detroit Tigers - Had a strong end to what was an otherwise bad year in 2008.
Pros: One of the best overall hitters. When he is hot, its a frenzy of hits.
Cons: Doesn't steal many bases anymore and is prone to slumps.
#10 Johan Santana (SP) NY Mets - He had a solid 2008, but with the Mets improved bullpen he could easily shred all other pitchers. Consider this, if the Mets had the guys they have now, Santana would have won 23 games.
Pros: One of the best pitchers in the game. Over 200 Ks and 20 wins is possible. He will even throw a few complete games. In his prime at 29 years old.
Cons: None.
#11 Ryan Howard (1B) Philadelphia Phillies - At 29 years old, Howard's average has been dipping badly. in 2006 it was .313 and in 2008 .251.
Pros: He is a 50 homerun candidate and really the only one in the first round (maybe AROD). He can very well improve his numbers from last season.
Cons: Hits poorly for average and is pitched around quite a bit, especially with Pat Burrel gone.
#12 Matt Holliday (OF) Oakland Athletics - Holliday is coming off his worse years in 2008 and he has been traded to the Oakland A's and a pitcher friendly Coliseum. We do know that he played through injury last season and that impacted his numbers.
Pros: Hits for power and steals bases. The key for Holliday is getting on base, which he does allot. If he's on base he's likely to steal. 30+ steals isn't far fetched. 30/30 is possible because though he has to hit in the Coliseum for 81 games, he also gets many short porches in the American League ballparks to pound on.
Cons: Changed teams and is no longer hitting in Coors field.
You can hear the show LIVE or the archived podcast at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/the_true_guru.
Round 1
#1 - Hanley Ramirez (SS) Florida Marlins - In 2008 he was my first overall pick in the FBS Expert League. This year he is the first overall pick in all drafts. Hanley brings power, speed, and average to the table.
Pros: 30+ homerun power, 40-50 stolen base potential, and a possibility to hit over .330. He is also in a somewhat weaker Marlins lineup, so you could see him running more.
Cons: The Marlins lineup lost sluggers Mike Jacobs and Josh Willingham, so pitchers may pitch around Hanley more often. However, the Marlins do surprise with their prospects, so we will have to see how that develops. Hanley is also injury prone, but normally plays through it.
#2 - David Wright (3B) NY Mets - Had another banner year last season and at 26 he could be setup for a monster 2009.
Pros: In a great lineup and is hitting his prime. He has power and speed, but most of all health.
Cons: When the Mets slump, Wright slumps.
#3 - Alex Rodriguez (3B) NY Yankees- He is still one of the best in the business, if not the best.
Pros: He hits for power, average, and is an MVP candidate every year. He also has help in the Yankee lineup with Tex being added
Cons: Prone to slumps and his stolen bases are sliding a bit.
#4 - Albert Pujols (1B) St. Louis Cardinals - Albert Pujols is one of the best all round players in the league. Last year's MVP is 28 and going strong.
Pros: Hits for power and can steal bases when needed. He hits for average better than any player in the first round. He can it 40 homeruns.
Cons: You have to concern yourself with injury, but overall that is the only con.
#5 Grady Sizemore (OF) Cleveland Indians - Hit 30/30 last year, and developed into a first round draft pick.
Pros: Sizemore is one of two 30/30 candidates in the first round.
Cons: Not the best for average, and is on a highly inconsistent team in the Cleveland Indians.
#6 Jose Reyes (SS) NY Mets - Reyes regained his power stroke in 2008, but dropped in stolen bases.
Pros: Steals an obscene amount of bases, and can hit 15-20 homeruns. He is the lead off man for a potent Mets offense.
Cons: Highly inconsistent. You are not always sure what you will get from him.
#7 Ryan Braun (OF) Milwaukee Brewers - Followed up his sensational rookie season with a solid sophomore season.
Pros: Entering his third year we expect his average to increase back to above .300 and he is developing into more of a control hitter. Has the ability to steal 20 bases, and hit 40 homeruns.
Cons: There is risk in whether or not he can hit .300 and steal more than 15 bases.
#8 Jimmy Rollins (SS) Philadelphia Phillies - Had a injury laden 2008, but is still a premiere shortstop.
Pros: He's a shortstop. He's coming off of a bad year that he still stole 47 bases, and two years removed from his MVP season.
Cons: Turns 30, and he is injury prone lately. There is an issue of whether or not he can regain his power.
#9 Miguel Cabrera (1B) Detroit Tigers - Had a strong end to what was an otherwise bad year in 2008.
Pros: One of the best overall hitters. When he is hot, its a frenzy of hits.
Cons: Doesn't steal many bases anymore and is prone to slumps.
#10 Johan Santana (SP) NY Mets - He had a solid 2008, but with the Mets improved bullpen he could easily shred all other pitchers. Consider this, if the Mets had the guys they have now, Santana would have won 23 games.
Pros: One of the best pitchers in the game. Over 200 Ks and 20 wins is possible. He will even throw a few complete games. In his prime at 29 years old.
Cons: None.
#11 Ryan Howard (1B) Philadelphia Phillies - At 29 years old, Howard's average has been dipping badly. in 2006 it was .313 and in 2008 .251.
Pros: He is a 50 homerun candidate and really the only one in the first round (maybe AROD). He can very well improve his numbers from last season.
Cons: Hits poorly for average and is pitched around quite a bit, especially with Pat Burrel gone.
#12 Matt Holliday (OF) Oakland Athletics - Holliday is coming off his worse years in 2008 and he has been traded to the Oakland A's and a pitcher friendly Coliseum. We do know that he played through injury last season and that impacted his numbers.
Pros: Hits for power and steals bases. The key for Holliday is getting on base, which he does allot. If he's on base he's likely to steal. 30+ steals isn't far fetched. 30/30 is possible because though he has to hit in the Coliseum for 81 games, he also gets many short porches in the American League ballparks to pound on.
Cons: Changed teams and is no longer hitting in Coors field.
posted by The True GURU at
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
1 Comments:
True Guru,
I liked the mock draft you posted, but you gave no respect to AROD! I like where you put Sizemore. Nice work.
Tray Parker
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