Overpriced or Good Value?
The Fantasy Sports Forum.com
My favorite league's draft was this weekend and I found that there were some very eye-opening winning bids at our auction. This is a ten team, NL only league, head-to-head format with keepers. Here are the auction salaries of a few interesting players and my comment. You decide if these players are overpriced or a good value in a 26 player, $260 salary cap format.
Overpriced:
Johan Santana, $52. Yes, Santana is a great pitcher, but is he that much better than Jake Peavey? I don't think so, and Peavey went for $40 last season, before winning his Cy Young award. While Santana will likely win about 19-20 games and get about 230 Ks, for that price he'll need to win 25 games and I don't see that happening.
Ty Wigginton, $25. Did I somehow miss when this guy became a top four third baseman? I know he also qualifies at second base, but for someone who has never knocked in more than 79 RBIs or hit higher than .277, this is a bit pricey.
Jose Reyes, $51. Since this is my player, I can't point any fingers, except at the guy who got into a bidding war with me. The only way Reyes makes this price a worthwhile value is if he combines his 75-80 steals with 20+ homers and a .300 average. His career high for HRs is 19, set in 2006.
Dan Haren, $45. Another excellent starter, but at the end of the year his total points will be about the same as the 25th ranked batter. While top end starters are hard to come by, you could get two very good ones for this price.
Miguel Tejada, $40. The numbers from Tejada in 2007 (18-81-.295 in 54 ABs) are similar to what we'll probably be see in 2008. He's going to be 32 in May and is now past his prime, but this owner paid like he was coming off his previous MVP season.
Roy Oswalt, $35. His strikeouts have gone down three seasons in a row and he's coming off a 14-7 season, yet his price indicates it's still 2005. Still a very good pitcher, just not dominant anymore.
Good Value:
Pedro Feliz, $6. The move from one of the most pitcher friendly parks (San Francisco) to possibly the most hitter friendly park (Philadelphia) will take a solid HR hitter (four consecutive seasons of 20+ HRs) and boost him into the 30+ homer category. If he does that, he's a steal at six bucks.
James Loney, $25. While other top end first basemen were going in the low forty dollar range, Loney was bought at a reasonable price. This could turn into a very good value if his 2007 numbers (15-67-.331 in 344 ABs) project to a full season in 2008.
Michael Bourn, $7. From his small sample of playing time last season (119 ABs), the one category which he clearly excelled in was steals, with 18. Now as the full time starter in Houston, he has the potential to rack up about 50 SBs. If he keeps his average a respectable .275-.290, then he will have been a worthy return on a small investment.
Wait and See:
Albert Pujols, $41. Without a doubt, Pujols' elbow aliment has every fantasy owner concerned. If he manages to make it through the season without hitting the DL, then this is a very good price for one of the top three hitters in the majors.
Carlos Delgado, $15. Delgado's sharp decline in his power numbers from last season, as well as a hip impingement injury in the exhibition season, scared off many bidders. If he can stay healthy and get back to his usual 30+ homers and 100+ RBIs, then this will turn out to be an excellent value.
Carlos Marmol, $25. If he remains the setup man, then the high strikeouts will just not be enough to justify the price. If he becomes the Cubs closer sooner rather than later, he may end up as one of the top closers in the NL.
Kosuke Fukudome, $15. All we can go by are his Japanese league stats to give us an indication of his talent. He has the potential to drive in a plenty of runs hitting in the middle of the Cubs potent lineup and Lou Piniella has even said that he'll give the green light to steal. If all goes well, he could shine in multiple categories and his fantasy owners will be saying "aragato".
Read more great content at: http://www.thefantasysportsforum.com/
My favorite league's draft was this weekend and I found that there were some very eye-opening winning bids at our auction. This is a ten team, NL only league, head-to-head format with keepers. Here are the auction salaries of a few interesting players and my comment. You decide if these players are overpriced or a good value in a 26 player, $260 salary cap format.
Overpriced:
Johan Santana, $52. Yes, Santana is a great pitcher, but is he that much better than Jake Peavey? I don't think so, and Peavey went for $40 last season, before winning his Cy Young award. While Santana will likely win about 19-20 games and get about 230 Ks, for that price he'll need to win 25 games and I don't see that happening.
Ty Wigginton, $25. Did I somehow miss when this guy became a top four third baseman? I know he also qualifies at second base, but for someone who has never knocked in more than 79 RBIs or hit higher than .277, this is a bit pricey.
Jose Reyes, $51. Since this is my player, I can't point any fingers, except at the guy who got into a bidding war with me. The only way Reyes makes this price a worthwhile value is if he combines his 75-80 steals with 20+ homers and a .300 average. His career high for HRs is 19, set in 2006.
Dan Haren, $45. Another excellent starter, but at the end of the year his total points will be about the same as the 25th ranked batter. While top end starters are hard to come by, you could get two very good ones for this price.
Miguel Tejada, $40. The numbers from Tejada in 2007 (18-81-.295 in 54 ABs) are similar to what we'll probably be see in 2008. He's going to be 32 in May and is now past his prime, but this owner paid like he was coming off his previous MVP season.
Roy Oswalt, $35. His strikeouts have gone down three seasons in a row and he's coming off a 14-7 season, yet his price indicates it's still 2005. Still a very good pitcher, just not dominant anymore.
Good Value:
Pedro Feliz, $6. The move from one of the most pitcher friendly parks (San Francisco) to possibly the most hitter friendly park (Philadelphia) will take a solid HR hitter (four consecutive seasons of 20+ HRs) and boost him into the 30+ homer category. If he does that, he's a steal at six bucks.
James Loney, $25. While other top end first basemen were going in the low forty dollar range, Loney was bought at a reasonable price. This could turn into a very good value if his 2007 numbers (15-67-.331 in 344 ABs) project to a full season in 2008.
Michael Bourn, $7. From his small sample of playing time last season (119 ABs), the one category which he clearly excelled in was steals, with 18. Now as the full time starter in Houston, he has the potential to rack up about 50 SBs. If he keeps his average a respectable .275-.290, then he will have been a worthy return on a small investment.
Wait and See:
Albert Pujols, $41. Without a doubt, Pujols' elbow aliment has every fantasy owner concerned. If he manages to make it through the season without hitting the DL, then this is a very good price for one of the top three hitters in the majors.
Carlos Delgado, $15. Delgado's sharp decline in his power numbers from last season, as well as a hip impingement injury in the exhibition season, scared off many bidders. If he can stay healthy and get back to his usual 30+ homers and 100+ RBIs, then this will turn out to be an excellent value.
Carlos Marmol, $25. If he remains the setup man, then the high strikeouts will just not be enough to justify the price. If he becomes the Cubs closer sooner rather than later, he may end up as one of the top closers in the NL.
Kosuke Fukudome, $15. All we can go by are his Japanese league stats to give us an indication of his talent. He has the potential to drive in a plenty of runs hitting in the middle of the Cubs potent lineup and Lou Piniella has even said that he'll give the green light to steal. If all goes well, he could shine in multiple categories and his fantasy owners will be saying "aragato".
Read more great content at: http://www.thefantasysportsforum.com/
posted by The Fantasy Sports Forum at
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
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