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Thursday, March 13, 2008

Five Players--The Detroit Tigers

Curtis Granderson It pains me to say that I think Granderson will be a heart breaker this year. It is easy to look at him and see a top 30/30 guy who will be a stud, but I demur on him for this year. He is close to useless against lefties, with a horrid .494 OPS (that's OPS not OBP) and he cannot sustain a high batting average with a sub 80% CT rate and a BB/K rate under 0.40. He had a 36% hit rate last year which, though high, is not hugely out of whack. I think a 33-34% rate is much more reasonable, but that 2-3% will also drop his BA a bit. He is a 20-20 guy right now, and it wouldn't surprise me if we have already seen his peak.

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