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Tuesday, March 11, 2008

H2H League Draft Analysis

A recap of my first draft of the year!

I know every blogger loves to write about their own drafts and I also know that you probably don't really care to read about our teams and a rundown of every single pick. So what am I going to do? Bore you with another post about my draft with a rundown of every single pick! Because it's fun and this was my first real draft of the year, so you're going to love every word of this post. And besides, I don't think I've ever actually done this before, so I'm truly excited.

First, a quick note on the league settings: it's a 5x5 H2H league where you get 1 win for each category you win for the week; daily transactions, 30 inning minimum per week; positions are weird- C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, Infielder, 4 OF, Util, 8 P, 6 Bench

I have only played in a H2H league once in my life about 7 years ago, and that was a points league. I vowed never to join one again since there is way too much luck involved. However, I was convinced into joining this league because it's with my brother (his 1st fantasy baseball league!!) and it was only $50, so I said what the heck. Plus, I figured the competition would be bad. Ok, enough babbling, onto my strategy...

The Strategy

As I just mentioned, I've never done a 5x5 H2H league so I really wasn't sure about strategy compared with a traditional roto league. I did come up with one that I think (hope) will work. I planned to use 4 of my 6 bench slots on pitchers, drafting a total of 12. In addition, I wanted to draft 8 starters and 4 closers. With daily transactions, I would always keep my 4 closers active, rotating my 8 starters in when they pitch. I assume I won't have any days where 5 pitchers start, but if I did, I'd just have to bench a closer. This strategy would almost guarantee I win Saves, Ks and Wins each week. And given that I consider myself good at drafting pitching without having to draft them early, I was confident I could also win ERA and WHIP most weeks, even if my staff pitched the most innings.

As always, I expected to load up on hitting early (like everyone always plans to do), while waiting until the end of the first 10 rounds to draft pitching and execute the pitching side of my strategy.

Last, I create my own projections and calculate dollar values for every player using the valuation method by Todd Zola from the old Mastersball.com website. I used a 62/38 split to account for the 11/8 hitting/pitching roster split, compared to the standard 14/9 hitters/pitchers where I normally go with a 70/30 split. I added Yahoo's ADP to my spreadsheet (since the draft was on Yahoo) and planned to draft the players that I valued higher than the ADP 1 round earlier to ensure I got the player.

Click here to read the rest of the article and see the results of my draft!

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