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Thursday, July 2, 2009

Wrighting The Ship


David Wright is just 26 years old, yet has the weight of the world on his shoulders. With a plethora of injuries plaguing the Mets, Wright not only has to pick up the slack on the field, but also in the clubhouse. The Mets are in turmoil, and Wright is one the few players who can turn things around. Sure, Johan Santana is a great figure, but the Mets need an everyday player to step up and lead the team. With players like Carlos Beltran, Jose Reyes, and Carlos Delgado on the DL, the Mets have been forced to call up many players from the minors, some of which are just not quite ready for the big show. Wright needs to lead by example on the field and off. He needs to take these youngsters in and show them the way.

So what does all of this have to do with fantasy baseball? The answer, It has EVERYTHING to do with fantasy baseball, and not just in regards to David Wright. So far, Wright has posted an impressive .340 batting average, with 20 stolen bases, however his power numbers are quite pedestrian, with just five home runs and 42 RBI. 54 players currently have more RBI that David Wright, including names like Cody Ross and Casey Blake. On top of this, a staggering 161 players have more HR than Wright. What's the deal? Obviously the lack of protection around him has something to do with it. When you combine this with the apparent pitcher friendly Citi Field, you're headed for disaster. Even with a healthy roster, Wright's power numbers would mostly likely be down considerably. From the outside looking in, Wright's lack of power might scare some fantasy owners, but taking a closer look, Wright has merely adjusted his game to adapt to the new ballpark. He's spraying the ball around and looking for a base hit, taking advantage of the spacious dimensions of Citi Field, hence his .340 batting average.

This brings me to my next point. It's not just David
Wright who is being affected, the pitching staff is suffering from lack of run support and poor defense. Johan Santana, currently with 9 wins has been a bit shaky of late. On top of poor run support, the Mets defense has been a highlight reel of errors. Misjudging a fly ball, throwing the ball away when there is no chance to get the out, and missing third base, it's like watching a bad little league instructional video on what NOT to do. In Santana's last start, he was clearly rattled after a number of errors and brain farts, as he too joined in on the circus, and blatantly airmailed a ball over the third baseman's head. After the inning, his discontent was clear in the dugout. I believe his words were something to the tune of, "I've had enough of this bleep, let's go!" That sounds about right.

The bottom line is that Wright is still a very valuable fantasy player, but his power numbers are just not there this season. Normally with a player of his caliber, I'd say that he's bound to turn the corner and start mashing. Sadly, I'm afraid I'm on the other side of the fence on this one. Citi Field isn't going to change, and Beltran, Reyes, and Delgado are still huge question marks. Even with a healthy lineup, I'm convinced that Wright's power number would still be down enough for one to take notice. Wright is currently on pace for 11 home runs, while he's hit 63 the past two seasons.

If you're looking for help with stolen bases and batting average, I would recommend keeping Wright on your roster. However, if you're in need of some pop and could use some extra power, you're better off trading Wright. Despite the poor power numbers, his exceptional average and stolen base numbers combined with name recognition will fetch a solid player in return. So don't panic yet, Wright is still an asset to your team, but in the long run if power is what you need, you're going to need to look elsewhere.

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2 Comments:

Blogger Ryan Hallam said...

Nice debut Dan, and I agree with your points. If Wright gets really hot he might be able to approach 20 homers, but he isn't going to be near the 30 range he has been in his past. I own Wright in only one of all my leagues, and I am not thinking of trading him away. The third base position is very shallow, so unless I got Youkilis and another advantage, or Longoria straight up, both very unlikely, I would hold on to him. Citi Field is a cavern and is eating up homers for lunch. Hopefully when they get healthy all will be well with Wright, but he clearly won't put up the numbers associated with his draft position.

All in all, great work and I look forward to your next piece.

July 2, 2009 at 8:50 PM  
Blogger Jason Swist said...

Great Job Dan Jay.
Thirty-seven games in the book at Citi Field is a small sample size Dan Jay so lets see how july Go's for Wright. I won't be suprise if Wright end up with 25HR to go with a .300+ avg. and 30-35 SB he may still end up being a top 5 player.

PrimeTime21
jason Swist

July 2, 2009 at 11:35 PM  

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