2009 FBS Bust Player: Adam Dunn
Team: Washington Nationals
Throws: Left
Position: OF
Adam Dunn is the player you love to hate. He is one of the biggest bats in the league, but besides that he offers little else as a fantasy player. The primary reason we call Adam Dunn a bust is because he does more harm than good. What is worse then being a lowly 1 tool player? How about going to the Washington Nationals where dreams and motivation go to die along with your stats.
Dunn may give you home runs, but he will burn you badly in the batting average, runs and steals categories. His RBI totals are nothing to offer wide-eyes at. Last year while hitting 40 HRs he managed 100 RBI. With the Nationals offense the numbers won't change much. Dunn turns 30 this year and will start to deal. He has 5 straight years of 40 or more home runs. We think that stretch ends this year. There are much better players in the draft that will bring you more than 1 category and they won't steal more championships than bases.
Prediction: 36 HRs, 97 RBI, 68 Runs, .244 Avg, 0 SB
Throws: Left
Position: OF
Adam Dunn is the player you love to hate. He is one of the biggest bats in the league, but besides that he offers little else as a fantasy player. The primary reason we call Adam Dunn a bust is because he does more harm than good. What is worse then being a lowly 1 tool player? How about going to the Washington Nationals where dreams and motivation go to die along with your stats.
Dunn may give you home runs, but he will burn you badly in the batting average, runs and steals categories. His RBI totals are nothing to offer wide-eyes at. Last year while hitting 40 HRs he managed 100 RBI. With the Nationals offense the numbers won't change much. Dunn turns 30 this year and will start to deal. He has 5 straight years of 40 or more home runs. We think that stretch ends this year. There are much better players in the draft that will bring you more than 1 category and they won't steal more championships than bases.
Prediction: 36 HRs, 97 RBI, 68 Runs, .244 Avg, 0 SB
posted by The True GURU at
Sunday, March 08, 2009
4 Comments:
With an OBP near .400 he should bat 2nd or 3rd in the order and he would score 90-110 runs, but the Reds always batted him 5th or 6th and limited his chances to score runs. in the 3rd spot even in DC he could go 100/36/100/2/.250
Batting order is huge here for his value.
You can think all day that he will achieve a .400 OBP, but not in the Nationals lineup. Even if he does, it will be because they pitch around him. Adam is draft purely for HR power and I don't think he is worth drafting with the damage he will do to your team in other respects.
he hit with nothing behind him in Cincy batting 5th or 6th so there isn't much different. he will still get an OBP north of .380 and that equals more runs if he bats higher in the lineup.
If they don't pitch around him than he tops 40 homers.
I have no doubt that Dunn can do that. He is just fantasy poison and I wouldn't touch him. That is the point of me calling him a bust.
Thanks
Todd
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