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Sunday, April 19, 2009

Jon Lester Is Back To Form


It took three starts, but the real Jon Lester showed himself today against Baltimore. His first two starts were bad, but primarily unlucky. His first start consisted of one bad inning (5th) where he allowed a bloop hit and a hit and run play prevented a double play. His second start wasn't very good. He just left everything up and got hammered.
Today was different. First off, he commanded every pitch and kept the Orioles off balance all day with strikeouts and pop outs. He struck out 9 batters and gave up only 4 hits.

One of the big Sabermetrics boo-boo's for Lester was his K/9 rate, which last year was around 6.5. I told everyone this season that Lester is just getting better and his K/9 rate will get better as well. Granted his ERA is 5.50, his K/9 rate after three starts and 18 innings is 8.5.

I know it won't stay that high, but I think he can maintain a 7.2 K/9 rate the whole year. One reason I know this is in the off-season he worked on his change-up. He already has a 96 mph fastball and a great cutter and curveball. Now mix in the changeup as another out pitch and he is dominating. He showed that today and expect more starts like this now that Lester has hopefully got settled.

Todd "The True Guru" Farino


Go out and get him if you can, unless you use Sabermetrics. In that case, get Oliver Perez.

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2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

"His first two starts were bad, but primarily unlucky."

April 21, 2009 at 7:49 AM  
Blogger The True GURU said...

I'm really getting tired of the the FantasyPros911.com stupid comments. Yes, the starts were bad, but he was just an unluckly pitcher and I thought I explained that for the first one. Whoever you are Mr. Anonymus or Patrick DiCaprio you obviouisly don't watch baseball.

April 21, 2009 at 12:41 PM  

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