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Sunday, January 17, 2010

2009 Draft Kit Breakout Players Review

By Todd Farino, www.fantasybaseballsearch.com

2009 was a good year for Fantasy Baseball Search.  If you used our draft kit, you found allot of great breakouts and some sweet sleeper.  I admit there were some
bad ones and plenty of them.  Overall, if you drafted the players I told you to, you probably had a great season.  This article was to cover the picks that did well and point out some that didn't go so well.

I've linked our original profiles to each player for verification.

Check out our 2009 Draft Kit Archive.

Matt Kemp (Breakout #1)-- Kemp was our #1 breakout and he did not disappoint.  He batted .297 while hitting 26 HRs and knocking in 101 RBI.  He
also stold 34 bases.  Our 2009 projections .301 BA, 25 Hrs, 99 RBI, 39 SB.

Joey Votto (Breakout #5)-  We knew Votto was ready for a big year and he produced with a breakout performance; .322 Avg, 25 Hrs, 84 RBI, and 4 stolen bases.  Our 2009 projections .309 BA, 33 Hrs, 102 RBI, 6 SB.  He easily would have achieved those numbers if he wasn't hurt and only played in 131 games.

David Ortiz (Breakout #6)- Ortiz was our #6 breakout.  Our projections were certainly off, but there were allot of people who felt Ortiz was in decline and he didn't decline and even with injuries still managed 28 HRs and 99 RBI.

Evan Longoria (Breakout #9)-- Longoria broke out and toppled his 2008 numbers with 33 HRs, 113 RBI, 9 SBs, and a .282 battling average.  Our 2009 projections 31 Hrs, 105 RBI, 85 Runs, .277 Avg, 9 SB.

Jon Lester (Breakout #10)-- I battled on this guy all year and except for some ill-faded luck and timely hits he had an outstanding season.  He was 15-8 with a 3.41 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 225 Ks.  If you took our advice and drafted Lester you did well. Our 2009 Projections 3.12 ERA, 20-8 rec, 1.17 WHIP, 168 Ks.

Troy Tulowitzki(Breakout #11)--  All that I can say is wow.  He surpassed our lofty projections and had an outstanding breakout year.  Tulo hit  32 HRs and batted .297.  He surpassed our 11 SBs with 20, but we were in lockstep with his 92 RBI and 101 runs. Our 2009 projections: 25 Hrs, 95 RBI, 102 Runs, .283 Avg, 11 SB.

Robinson Cano(Breakout #12)--
I took flak from the naysayers when I ranked Cano #7 for second base and called him a breakout.  Once again, another pat on the back for The True Guru.  .320 Avg, 25 Hrs, 85 RBI, and 103 runs.  Our 2009 Projections: 19 Hrs, 99 RBI, 90 Runs, .326 Avg, 2 SB.

Hunter Pence(Breakout #21)-- I was all over Hunter Pence and he came through with a solid breakout season.  25 Hrs, 14 SB, and a .282 batting average was an improvement over his 25 Hrs, .269, and 11 SB.  I expected more RBI and a higher batting average, but he still came through.  Our 2009 Projections: 24 Hrs, 96 RBI, 87 Runs, .298 Avg, 15 SB.

Jonathan Broxton(Breakout #26)-- He was our our favorite closer coming into the 2009 season and if it wasn't for a stubborn toe injury he would have met our projections.  He still had an outstanding breakout season with 36 saves, 0.96 WHIP, 7 wins, and 114 Ks.  Our 2009 Projections: 5 wins, 86 Ks, 2.92 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 45 Saves.

Other Great Breakout Calls:
Yunal Escobar(Breakout #25)-- : Stats .  14 Hrs, 76 RBI, 89 Runs, 5 SB, .299 Avg.  Our 2009 Projections: 15 Hrs, 64 RBI, 79 Runs, .304 Avg, 3 SB.
Howie Kendrick (Breakout #35)-- - 10 Hrs, 61 RBI, 61 Runs, 11 SB, .291 Avg.
Nick Swisher (Breakout #36)-- - 29 Hrs, 82 RBI, 84 Runs, .249 Avg.
Matt Cain (Breakout #38)-- - 14-8, .289 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 171 Ks.
Luke Scott (Breakout #40)-- - 25 Hrs, 82 RBI, 84 Runs, .249 Avg.

Our Bust Breakout Calls and Excuses:
Mike Jacobs(Breakout #24)-- - He looked good for a month or so.
Jake Peavy (Breakout #7)-- - Inuries derailed his 2009 season.
Jay Bruce (Breakout #23)-- - A young player, who didn't take the next step forward.  I was probably a year early.
Kelly Johnson (Breakout #22)-- -
Inconsistent playing time and Bobby Cox are to blame.
Wilson Betemit (Breakout #30)-- - Thank God he was ranked #30 on our list.
Joe Crede(Breakout #39)-- - Bad call.
Chad Billingsley (Breakout #32)-- - Serious regression.
Watch out in 2010.
Chris Perez (Breakout #16)-- - Could be a surprise in 201 with the Indians.  Ryan Franklin pitched too well for Perez to get extended chances.


To get more from Todd Farino and RC Rizza, catch our weekly podcast at www.blogtalkradio.com/fantasy-baseball-tonight. Listen to us LIVE every Wednesday at 10pm EST for 90 minutes of pure fantasy baseball talk.

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