The Ultimate Fantasy Baseball Blog with The True Guru and Friends
 

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Fantasy Baseball Tonight 7/7

Jayson Werth homered for the third time in the last five games, and after a rough start, looks like he is going to far surpass his breakout season of 2008. After hitting 24 homers last season, few thought that Werth could do it again. Last night was his 18th of the season and if he can hit six more homers for the rest of the season, I'll go play in traffic. His stolen base numbers will likely be around the same, as he is looking like he will get to 20 again this season. Keep Werth in your lineup daily, even if you only need three outfielders.

J.A. Happ pitched well again, and is now looking like a guy that you can trust to keep on your roster full time. You would like to see him strike out a few more guys, but he hasn't lost in nine starts, goes fairly deep into games, and his ERA is just 3.04. If he is still available and you have any need any pitching, Happ is a guy that I would pick up. He plays for a good team as well, and I think he has a real chance to win 12 games.

Placido Polanco had three hits including a home run and drove in four runs. He might look like great help at middle infield, but unless you are only planning on using him for a short term, I wouldn't put much stock in him. I wouldn't say, hey I can trade Ian Kinsler to strengthen my team somewhere else because I have Polanco to take his place. Placido will give you a decent average, but he likely won't hit double digit home runs and he certainly won't steal ten bases. He could help you for a few weeks, but don't let him become an integral part of your team.

James Shields continues his crazy season, and was great last night. His ERA is nice at 3.38,and his WHIP is fine at 1.26. So why is he 6-6? It seems that the Rays are turning a corner and starting to win more games, so I would think that Shields has a chance to win at least 14 games. You have to live with the bad times, but I would still stick Shields out there against any team. He has the talent to shut down any team on any day.

Scott Hairston hit his first homer since being traded to the A's, and although he didn't get traded to a hitter-friendly ballpark, his home park used to be Petco, so it isn't like he isn't used to playing in the Grand Canyon. Hairston is a nice outfielder who should make a run at 20 home runs, and is a nice fourth outfielder for any team.

Paul Konerko had a game for the ages with three home runs and seven RBI. After hitting in the .250s and .240s the past couple of seasons, you have to expect that he will regress some from the .290s he is hitting right now. I don't see him hitting 40 home runs either, so his recent production has to slow down. Considering he has 16 jacks already, it wouldn't be out of the realm of possibility for him to hit 30, but I wouldn't be surprised if he fell just short. 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Juan Rivera homered two more times, and he now has 16 on the year. Rivera now has 13 RBI in the last ten games, and is still hitting over .310. I keep warning against a possible cool down, but there appears to be no such thing in sight. Rivera's problems have always been health-related, so as long as he is in one piece he should continue to produce.

Luke Scott is hot again, and we all know how well he can do when he is hot. He now has a hit in eight straight games and he connected on his 17th homer, which was his third in the last six games. If you own Scott, definitely start him. This streak could last a couple of weeks before he cools down again.

Barry Zito has been pitching so far beyond his expectations coming into the season that it isn't funny. Zito threw 8.1 shutout innings and struck out six. His ERA is still well over four, but he has had some pretty bad starts against good teams. If you can get Zito against San Diego, Pittsburgh, or Washington I would definitely add him to have those numbers, but he doesn't do anything well enough to rationalize holding him all season long.

Sergio Romo has good stuff and recorded the save tonight, but I wouldn't put too much stock into his statistics on Tuesday. Brian Wilson had pitched two straight days and last night he threw 37 pitches. He could someday be the closer in San Francisco (certainly with a Wilson injury), but it won't be this year. Romo is a long term closer, but dont' think about him in 2009.

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