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Friday, January 30, 2009

2009 FBS Sleeper Player: Josh Johnson

Team: Florida Marlins
Throws: Right

Position: SP

When the Florida Marlins brought Josh Johnson off of the Disabled List on July 10th, no one knew what to expect. He was only 10 months removed from Tommy John surgery, while most pitchers take 12-18 months to recover from that type of procedure. Much to everyone's surprise, Johnson performed at an incredibly high level. In his 14 starts in 2008, Johnson gave up more than three earned runs only twice, and struck out five or more batters in nine of those starts, including a stretch of five straight starts. All told, Johnson went 7-1 with a 3.61 ERA and 77 Ks in 87 innings. At 6'7" and 230 pounds, Johnson is an intimidating presence on the mound, and throughout his career he has always put up similar statistics. Johnson plays in one of the better pitcher's parks in all of baseball, and that should help keep his ERA down. As long as he stays healthy, and shows no lingering effects from the Tommy John, there's no reason not to expect big things from him in 2009.

Prediction: 15-10, 3.43 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 155 Ks

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Isn't 155k's a bit modest here? 77 in 87 innings would seem to suggest mush more. Any reason that number was projected at 155?

February 3, 2009 at 8:48 PM  
Blogger Ryan Hallam said...

Anon,

Johnson is still a young guy, I'm not comfortable predicting 200 Ks for him. He still did have Tommy John, and although he was great coming back from it last year, the Marlins would be wise not to push him too much. It might be a slightly modest prediction, but I like to be realistic rather than overboard. Thanks for the comment, hopefully you are right that he does more.
e

February 3, 2009 at 10:11 PM  

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